Showing posts with label trades. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trades. Show all posts

Sunday, July 31, 2011

We've changed our minds.


This deal was brilliant.  Just look at that stache.  AND his nickname is Fed Ex.  Ned Colletti probably assumes that A) they must be related, and B) Federowicz moonlights as a deliveryman.

Well, that came out of left field. And by that, I mean Trayvon Robinson.

You mean that was today?  Oh, shit. Guess I better trade my one good Minor League piece.
Right as the trade deadline passed, reports started coming in about Erik Bedard going to the Red Sox.  A strange pickup, considering he hasn't been healthy and is notoriously press and attention shy, but whatever.  I nodded and continued my write up about how the Dodgers blew their chance to acquire some IF/C prospects by spinning off their veteran pieces.

Oh, how stupid of me.  Why trade veterans when we can get rid of our highly regarded minor leaguers instead? The Dodgers have traded Trayvon Robinson in a very confusing three team deal that brings Boston C prospect Tim Federowicz and Seattle Mariners Red Sox pitching prospects Stephen Fife and Juan Rodriguez.

I'm just freestyling here, as info is still coming in and there hasn't really been time to adequately process this information, but my initial reaction to this deal is WHYGODWHYHAVEYOUFORSAKENUS?

Sorry about that.  This is just so ridiculously ill-conceived that I don't even know what to say.  Trayvon Robinson has improved every year he's played in the minor league system, going from org. depth to fringe prospect to legit future piece of the big-league future.  I don't think he was ever going to play in an All-Star game, but he profiled as a decent hitter with plus defense that could play all three outfield positions.  He was going to allow us to move Jerry Sands to move to first base to replace Loney and free up money to address our infield disaster.  He was cheap, young, productive, and healthy, things this team needs desperately.

And the return?  We get a guy that projects as a backup catcher, and two pitchers I can't even find scouting reports for.  

Look, I know that Ned's idea here was to deal from our strength in an effort to shore up a very weak position in the organization.  And maybe details will emerge that paint Fife & Rodriguez as more than just minor league cannon fodder.  But I can't help but see this as yet another example of Colletti's massive ineptitude towards his farm system.  You don't trade a plus prospect for a middling prospect.  Or two.  Or three.  You trade off guys with expiring contracts for middling prospects.  At least, that's what a GOOD GM does.  

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Hiroki Kuroda says the East Coast can F off, will remain a Dodger for remainder of season.

Kuroda, preparing to show Ned Colletti just how strong his pimp hand is.
Broken simultaneously on twitter by Ken Gurnick and Dylan Hernandez a few minutes ago: Hiroki Kuroda has reportedly informed the Dodgers that he will NOT approve a trade, and will remain with the team for the rest of the season.  We love Hiroki, but damn.  There goes the (admittedly faint) hopes of spinning the ONE legit trade piece on the Dodgers for a top flight prospect.  While this certainly bodes well for his possible return this offseason, it would have been nice to add some 3B/C/1B prospects to the farm system.  Ah, well.

Friday, July 15, 2011

Let's Make a Deal

Let’s Make A Deal
Starting tomorrow, the Dodgers begin their final 70-game stretch of the 2011 season. They currently sit at 41-51, clinging to fourth place in the standings by one game over San Diego. They are 11 games behind the pace for the NL West lead and 13 out in the wild card. There are currently three teams in the National League- San Diego, Chicago, and Houston- with worse records. If we’re reading the charts at Baseball Prospectus correctly, there is currently a 0.8% chance that the Dodgers will make the playoffs this year. For those of you non-math majors out there, that’s not very good.

So of course we’ll be attempting to trade young players in our farm system to make a playoff run. Ned Colletti, in an article on the dodgers.com team site is quoted saying this: "That said, we need to execute better in the second half and gain the confidence that we can, and we'll be in buying mode at the [Trade] Deadline, as usual. I'm still confident we can make a run, pick up a game a week and be in a decent spot. We still have a load of games in the division."

Ned, I’m proud that you’ve got so much faith in this team. And I get it, kind of- you assembled this roster, so you’ve got to stand behind it and continue to assert that you’re doing a good job. But this team needs to sell. And it needs to sell NOW. Your owner is broke, the attendance is down 9,000 per game, and your minor league system has gaping holes. This is the perfect chance to:

A) Save a little money. Frank will be ecstatic to see you lower payroll by trading away player that are still due a couple million for the season, at least for however many more weeks/days/hours he still has control of the team. And once MLB takes over, I’m sure the other owners will be happy to not have to contribute quite as much to keep us afloat.

B) Restock the farm system. While we don’t have a lot of key trading chips, we can certainly use them to help out a farm system that needs position player prospects, particularly at third base and catcher.

C) Help energize the fan base. If you’re worried about a fan backlash, Ned, don’t be: you’re already experiencing one. With attendance down and the city filled with apathy for the on-field product and disgust for the off field shenanigans, now truly is the perfect time roll the dice and blow up the roster. The callups of Jerry Sands and Dee Gordon earlier in the season provided a jolt of fan goodwill, and allowed the writers covering the team to actually deliver some feel-good stories to the fans. Why not see what the new kids can do?

While the last thing I want is to bash the Dodgers, they are not a playoff caliber team as currently constructed. There are too many holes on this roster to patch up with midseason trades in an attempt to get back in the race. And the farm system (which we’ll start looking at in-depth within the next few weeks) really can’t handle another year of pillaging in an effort to finish the season 75-87 instead of 70-92. The smartest thing to do, at this point, is to make every effort to move Kuroda (if he’ll waive his no-trade clause), Blake, Furcal, Barajas, Carroll, Miles, MacDougal, Loney, Uribe, Guerrier and Lilly. Even Andre Ethier shouldn’t be labeled as untouchable- if made available, he’d be the best hitter on the trade market and would be worth several very good prospects. That’s something the future owner of the Dodgers- whomever that may be- is going to need. Now, we recognize that some, or most, of those players have very little value if any at all, but even getting a couple long shot prospects is probably preferable at this point. If nothing else, it will help get some of the younger players on the team some much needed on-the-job training.

Under no circumstances should Kershaw and Kemp be dealt- nor Billingsley, who is signed for several more years with a very team-friendly contract. And we need to hang on to all of the young players that have shown promise this year: De La Rosa, Sands, Gordon, and the young bullpen arms that have been surprisingly solid so far. But with so many other things aligned against the Dodgers right now, the smartest thing the team could do for its long-term health would be to sell.